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Peel Through the Decades: How Historical Development Patterns Predict Future Growth

Albert Santos
Thursday, January 15, 2026
Peel Through the Decades: How Historical Development Patterns Predict Future Growth

To know where the next "million-dollar neighborhood" will be, you have to look at how we got here. Peel's history is a blueprint for its 2051 target of 2.28 million residents.

The Evolution: From Farmland to "Downtowns"

  • Mississauga (The 1970s–90s): Incorporated in 1974, Mississauga’s growth was defined by the "Sprawl Era." Today, that pattern is reversing. Since 2020, over 68% of new units have been apartments. The lesson? The "Single Family Era" has peaked; the future of Mississauga is vertical.

  • Brampton (The 2010s–20s): Brampton’s growth exploded with a focus on secondary suites (laneway/basement apartments). Since 2017, relaxed parking and unit-size rules have made Brampton the "Basement Capital" of Canada, creating a unique investor market for multi-generational homes.

The Caledon Balance: Preservation vs. Progress

Caledon is currently where Mississauga was in the late 70s. While 87% of its new builds are still single-detached homes, the Future Caledon Official Plan marks a shift.

  • The Urban Border: About 4,000 hectares along Caledon's southern border are slated for urbanization.

  • The Prediction: Historical data shows that land values along the "urban-rural transition line" appreciate the fastest. As Caledon targets 300,000 residents by 2051, the south-end "greenfield" developments are the highest-growth zones to watch.

Lessons from Past Cycles

Every major infrastructure leap in Peel—from the arrival of the railways in the 1870s to the 400-series highways—has been followed by a 20-year property boom. We are currently in the "Transit Leap" phase.

The Future Opportunity Zones: Based on the rigid British survey grids that still define our roads, growth will follow the "nodes" where these grids meet new transit.

  1. Bolton (Caledon): Poised for intensification.

  2. Downtown Brampton: The "Riverwalk" flood mitigation project will finally unlock high-rise potential that has been "frozen" for decades.


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